Politics

Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 202951% Before Jan 1, 202829% Before Jul 1, 202723% Before Jan 1, 20275%

$172,145 volume · Closes Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 21, 2029. If a Congressional stock trading ban becomes law between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Congress

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?

Before Jan 20, 202956% Before Jan 1, 202845% Before Jul 1, 202728% Before Jan 1, 202712%

$123,107 volume · Closes Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 20, 2029. If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?

Howard Lutnick76% Sam Altman17% Mark Zuckerberg9% Anthony Fauci5%

$84,298 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Before Jan 2027. If Sam Altman has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Congress

Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?

Roger Williams 41% Yes No

Debbie Wasserman-Schultz 39% Yes No

David Rouzer 32% Yes No

$29,472 vol +7 more · Closes Dec 31, 2026

Congress

Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?

Before Jul 1, 2027 21% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2027 5% Yes No

$16,202 vol Closes Jul 1, 2027

Congress

Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?

Above 95 96% Yes No

Above 97 93% Yes No

Above 100 86% Yes No

$1,848 vol +4 more · Closes Feb 1, 2027

Congress

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

23%

chance

Yes —No —

$1,534 vol Closes Jan 1, 2027

Congress

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

Before Jan 1, 2030 51% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2029 26% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 18% Yes No

$312 vol +1 more · Closes Jan 1, 2030

Congress

Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Nov 2026?

17%

chance

Yes —No —

$225 vol Closes Dec 1, 2026

Congress

Will Congress pass a bill repealing any of Trump's tariffs?

60%

chance

Yes —No —

$138 vol Closes Jan 1, 2028

Congress

When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?

Before Jan 1, 2028 94% Yes No

Before Jul 1, 2027 80% Yes No

Before Apr 1, 2027 55% Yes No

$96 vol +1 more · Closes Jan 1, 2028

Congress

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Illinois 82% Yes No

New York 82% Yes No

Wisconsin 75% Yes No

$0 vol +14 more · Closes Nov 7, 2028

Congress

Will the House hold any Cabinet member in contempt of Congress before 2028?

52%

chance

Yes —No —

$0 vol Closes Jan 1, 2028

Congress

When will Trump sign the first 120th Congress bill?

Before Jul 1, 2027 94% Yes No

Before Apr 1, 2027 80% Yes No

Before Mar 1, 2027 65% Yes No

$0 vol +2 more · Closes Jul 1, 2027