Economics

Inflation

CPI YoY in November

Above 3.0%99% Above 3.1%99% Above 3.2%99% Above 3.3%99%

$870,940 volume · Closes Dec 10, 2026

In Nov 2026. If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Inflation

How high will inflation get this year?

At least 4.5%9% At least 5.0%3% At least 5.5%3% At least 7.0%3%

$604,416 volume · Closes Feb 14, 2027

In 2026. If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Inflation

CPI inflation above 3% in November?

41% chance

$485,083 volume · Closes Dec 12, 2026

Year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index for November, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Inflation

CPI YoY in December

Above 3.0% 98% Yes No

Above 3.1% 98% Yes No

Above 3.2% 92% Yes No

$420,291 vol +18 more · Closes Jan 13, 2027

Inflation

Core CPI YoY in November

Above 2.0% 99% Yes No

Above 2.1% 99% Yes No

Above 2.2% 99% Yes No

$362,778 vol +13 more · Closes Dec 10, 2026

Inflation

Core CPI YoY in December

Above 2.1% 99% Yes No

Above 2.2% 99% Yes No

Above 2.3% 99% Yes No

$221,042 vol +12 more · Closes Jan 13, 2027

Inflation

Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?

10%

chance

Yes —No —

$151,150 vol Closes Mar 31, 2027

Inflation

Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027

14%

chance

Yes —No —

$123,531 vol Closes Feb 15, 2027

Inflation

How high will CPI get this year?

Above 4.3% 12% Yes No

Above 4.6% 12% Yes No

Above 4.7% 12% Yes No

$101,075 vol +6 more · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Inflation

How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

Above 4.75% 88% Yes No

Above 5.00% 45% Yes No

Above 6.25% 11% Yes No

$20,161 vol +7 more · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Inflation

What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?

Above 3.50% 90% Yes No

Above 3.75% 90% Yes No

Above 3.25% 89% Yes No

$6,406 vol +7 more · Closes Mar 31, 2027

Inflation

Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?

chance

Yes —No —

$2,012 vol Closes in 2d